charli's Blog

by charli from Tampa FL

Last Post 3 days, 1 hour Ago

TS Fay and paths... question for paul, dave, etc.

Aug 15, 2008 | 6:06 PM
Category: Weather

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Okay... I have a great record of predicting where storms go. I am an amatuer meteorologist who predicted that Charlie would not hit Tampa the night before it made its turn east... while everyone else was saying that is was going to continue north to Tampa.

Okay... all the models have Fay coming towards Florida... east, middle of the state, or west of us... but still affecting us. We currently have a system over us that was supposed to have moved out yesterday but is now supposed to stay over us. Won't that system affect Fay's path? Make it turn more north (east of FL) or more west depending on the system over us? That is what turned Charlie east when it did... a system moving in from the north.

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Aug 16, 2008 | 3:19 PM

Update... when I left work yesterday, I told someone that the system over us was not going to move for a few days. 6PM, Friday, forecast said it would move north... 6 AM forecast said the same thing... strange, as I look at satellite... it has not moved... and Fay is continuing more west. Which is what I said it would do yesterday. I am in the wrong business!

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charli

I am an Environmental Specialist with Hills. Cty. Basically, I am a "dumpster diver". I also do a lot of educational graphics design about the proper disposal of household chemical & electronics, litter, etc. My hobbies are very diverse... golf and reading, with sci-fi, forensic mysteries, and history being my favorites. My other passion is photography, mostly nature. Ever since experiencing my first hurricane in Florida, Cleo in 1964 when I was 15, when the eye went over my house, I have been fascinated with weather. I have a 99% accuracy... including predicting Charley's turn away from Tampa the night before he hit down south.

Member Since: 7/17/2006

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